SRI College Preview: Science Predicts Alabama Over Oklahoma

August 10, 2011 – 9:50 am by Paul Bessire

SportsRadioInterviews.com has teamed with PredictionMachine.com to preview the upcoming college football season. PredictionMachine.com plays every game 50,000 times before it’s played. In this case, the site has played the entire season 50,000 times for this preview, presenting the projected results for every conference championship and bowl game. Learn more about How this Works.

SEASON SUMMARY

Alabama wins its second championship in the last three seasons – and the SEC’s sixth straight BCS title – by topping Oklahoma in the BCS Championship 56.5% of the time and by a score of 27.6 – 23.1. Despite losing ultra-efficient quarterback Greg McElroy and receiving threat Julio Jones, Alabama is stacked. The Crimson Tide appears to have the best offensive line, running back and defense in the nation. Generally, the most likely team in the country to go undefeated is a non-BCS-AQ school (like TCU, Boise State, Houston, etc.). This year, that distinction goes to the SEC’s best.

In other BCS Bowls, the inaugural Big Ten Championship game winner, Wisconsin falls to new Pac-12 champion Oregon in a Rose Bowl shootout 41-31. Boise State, led by Kellen Moore, carries the flag of the BCS non-AQ schools into the Sugar Bowl where the Broncos take out SEC runner-up South Carolina 27-25. ACC winner Florida State shuts down Big East champion West Virginia 23-14 in the Orange Bowl. And Big 12 runner-up Texas A&M spoils Brian Kelly and Notre Dame’s return to a BCS game with a 31-26 victory. Perennial BCS Bowl contender LSU and offensive power house Oklahoma State may not make BCS Bowls despite being top ten teams (two teams from the SEC and Big 12 are already in), but the Tigers and Cowboys turn the Cotton Bowl into the next best match-up, one that LSU wins 37-30. Stumbling from last year’s ranks, defending champion Auburn faces Houston in the Liberty Bowl, while TCU makes the Las Vegas Bowl against Cal. And finally, in an interesting rematch from last season’s Sugar Bowl, Ohio State and Arkansas lose their starting quarterbacks, yet improve over the season to ultimately meet up in the Outback Bowl.

Team recaps, Power Rankings and Preseason Over/Under Win Total Picks are also available at PredictionMachine.com. Here are projected conference championship and bowl results for every game:

BOWL SUMMARY

Conference Championship Results

Date Conference Matchup Result
Dec. 2 MAC #77 Northern Illinois 29 – #82 Temple 26
Dec. 3 SEC #1 Alabama 24 – #7 South Carolina 14
Dec. 3 Big Ten #12 Wisconsin 23 – #16 Nebraska 21
Dec. 3 ACC #8 Florida State 23 – #19 Virginia Tech 20
Dec. 3 Pac-12 #3 Oregon 35 – #17 Arizona State 21
Dec. 3 C-USA #46 Houston 40 – #52 Southern Miss 37
Date BCS Bowl Matchup Result
Dec. 17 New Orleans #50 Tulsa 40 – #84 FIU 26
Dec. 17 Humanitarian #59 Nevada 27 – #70 Toledo 23
Dec. 17 Gildan New Mexico #83 Utah State 29 – #87 Colorado State 27
Dec. 20 St. Petersburg #52 Southern Miss 23 – #64 Connecticut 18
Dec. 21 Poinsettia #35 San Diego State 36 – #91 Central Michigan 17
Dec. 22 Maaco Las Vegas #21 TCU 23 – #44 Cal 16
Dec. 24 Sheraton Hawaii #63 Hawaii 37 – #98 Tulane 23
Dec. 26 Independence #34 Air Force 28 – #53 Maryland 20
Dec. 27 Belk #42 Cincinnati 21 – #51 NC State 19
Dec. 27 Little Caesars #49 Iowa 31 – #77 Northern Illinois 24
Dec. 28 Bridgepoint Holiday #17 Arizona State 41 – #38 Baylor 33
Dec. 28 Military #62 Virginia 28 – #75 Navy 27
Dec. 29 Valero Alamo #9 Stanford 34 – #26 Texas 21
Dec. 29 Champs Sports #15 Miami (FL) 27 – #32 Pitt 21
Dec. 30 Insight #30 Northwestern 30 – #33 Missouri 29
Dec. 30 Music City #47 Tennessee 17 – #39 Boston College 16
Dec. 30 New Era Pinstripe #54 South Florida 19 – #57 Purdue 17
Dec. 30 Armed Forces #31 SMU 31 – #24 BYU 30
Dec. 31 Chick-fil-A #19 Virginia Tech 30 – #29 Georgia 20
Dec. 31 Kraft Fight Hunger #37 Florida 23 – #41 Arizona 21
Dec. 31 AutoZone Liberty #27 Auburn 41 – #46 Houston 37
Dec. 31 Hyundai Sun #40 Utah 22 – #36 Clemson 21
Dec. 31 Meineke Car Care #28 Michigan State 33 – #43 Oregon State 27
Jan. 2 Gator #25 Michigan 31 – #45 Kentucky 26
Jan. 2 Capital One #14 Mississippi State 25 – #16 Nebraska 23
Jan. 2 Outback #13 Arkansas 28 – #18 Ohio State 24
Jan. 2 TicketCity #23 Penn State 27 – #55 UCF 17
Jan. 6 ATT&T Cotton #5 LSU 37 – #10 Oklahoma State 30
Jan. 7 BBVA Compass #67 Syracuse 21 – #73 Miami (OH) 20
Jan. 8 GoDaddy.com #82 Temple 29 – #100 Arkansas State 24
Date BCS Bowl Matchup Result
Jan. 2 Rose #3 Oregon 41 – #12 Wisconsin 31
Jan. 3 Orange #8 Florida State 23 – #20 West Virginia 14
Jan. 3 Sugar #4 Boise State 27 – #7 South Carolina 25
Jan. 5 Fiesta #6 Texas A&M 31 – #11 Notre Dame 26
Jan. 9 BCS Championship #1 Alabama 28 – #2 Oklahoma 23

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