By The Most Exciting Two Minutes In Sports…Dick Jerardi Like Friesan Fire And I Want Revenge In The Derby
May 1, 2009 – 2:15 pm by Jimmy Shapiro
I’d be lying if I said I know much of anything about horse racing. I know I like to gamble on just about anything, and I know that I always watch the Kentucky Derby. Match made in heaven! Something about the anticipation of those two minutes and all the hoopla surrounding the Derby. On my bucket list is to go to a Kentucky Derby. It’s supposed to be one of the best parties and people watching events in the world.
Since I’ll most likely lose if I pick the horses, I’ll defer to one of the foremost horse racing journalists in the country, Dick Jerardi of the Philadelphia Daily News. He hasn’t steered me wrong in the past few years. Dick Jerardi is doing interviews around sports radio on behalf of XpressBet.com where you can wager legally on the Derby. He joined KJR in Seattle to analyis the 2009 Kentucky Derby which takes place Saturday May 2nd at 6:24 pm EST.
On the seemingly wide open race:
“We certainly have nothing like Big Brown last year where we just knew he was the horse. I think you have maybe three or four of similar quality to what Big Brown was at this time last year. So it is a good group at the top. Now because we’ve lost so many horses in recent days, the bottom half of the twenty-horse field is not very strong. It’s actually one of the weaker bottom halfs.”
On picking the right long shot for value:
“I think once you get up into those 30s or 50s, they are those numbers for a reason. They’re pretty much hopeless. But there’s some at the 15 to 20 range that you could make an argument for that if things break correctly, one of them could get there. The problem is you just got to pick the right one.”
His prediction:
“If it’s right at this moment, I’m probably between two – Friesan Fire and I Want Revenge. I Want Revenge is probably going to go off favorite; Friesan Fire is probably going to be 6 or 7 to 1 [odds]. They would be the two that I would like, subject obviously to change. There are other possibilities, but I think they are the two most likely winners of the race.”
(Update: I Want Revenge has been scratched on Kentucky Derby Morning due to an ankle injury)
What he expects to happen to I Want Revenge’s odds leading up to the race:
“I think he might go up rather than down. The fact that when there’s 20 and there are 20 betting interests, it’s just hard to have an overwhelming favorite unless there’s [horses] like Big Brown last year.”
Listen to Dick Jerardi on KJR in Seattle with Mike Gastineau
Tags: 2009 Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, Dick Jerardi, Friesan Fire, Horse Racing, I Want Revenge, Kentucky Derby, The most exciting two minutes in sports.
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